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The best way to theorycraft around this kind of combo is figure out what is the easiest lethal you can find, and what are the ways to mitigate bad draws and fizzling out. Simple math shows you that if you Shock as your 4th spell (8 damage) and Lightning Strike as your 5th spell (15 damage) you kill most people. So really all you are trying to do is cast 3 spells plus a shock and a strike.

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